In KNOWING, a modelling framework is developed for calculating the interactions between adaptation measures and climate protection strategies in order to identify the most appropriate combination of measures. In doing so, the consequences of possible adaptation responses of different groups of actors in different contexts, e.g. (energy) consumption, construction industry, land use, etc., are assessed. This is done in the context of three main climate impacts: (1) heat and health, (2) soil fertility and agriculture, and (3) flooding and infrastructure.
Based on selected example regions (“Demonstrators”), concrete adaptation strategies are modelled with the help of combined sector models (e.g. energy, climate) , interactions between these sectors are recorded, and impacts are evaluated with the continuous involvement of affected stakeholder groups. Finally, concrete combinations of measures are identified by means of “backcasting” for the respective goals of the regions to enable climate adaptation without jeopardising the climate goals. Based on the findings from the Demonstrators, the pathways are transferred to Follower regions to achieve generalisable climate protection paths in the form of guidelines for suitable combinations of measures as well as the risks of unfavourable combinations or delayed implementation.
